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The dot is where option prices put the close. The centre line is the 15:15 freeze level. The shaded band is the ATM straddle, the range the market is paying for.
| strike | CE | PE | implied close | points vs freeze |
|---|
Spread of the last three readings, spread across the five strikes, and the move since three minutes ago. Small bars mean the market's number is settled.
The ATM straddle premium is the range the market is paying for into the print. On expiry day the options settle at that print.
| implied vs freeze at 15:22 | sessions | print same side | median |print| pts |
|---|
Frequency of the official print landing on the same side of the freeze as the 15:22 reading, grouped by the size of that reading. A description of past sessions, not a forecast.
| implied vs freeze at 15:26 | sessions | print same side | median |print| pts |
|---|
Same table four minutes later. The smallest readings are close to a coin flip; the larger buckets are small samples. Buckets are in index points, listed per index.